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Content
Product ResearchThematic GrowthDisruptive Technology

Why Space Tech? Why ORBX?

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Tejas DessaiDirector of Thematic Research
Aug 26, 2026·2 min read

Why Space Tech?

Launch: New Economics Are Reshaping the Industry

  • The average cost of delivering payloads to Low Earth Orbit (LEO) has fallen by over 95% since 1960s to under $3,000/kg on SpaceX’s Falcon 9 this decade, fundamentally changing the economics of operating in space. Reusable rocket boosters – which reduce hardware replacement costs and support higher cadence – underpin this shift.1

Why Space Tech Why ORBX-01
  • Improving economics have nearly quadrupled global orbital launch attempts over the past decade to roughly 325 in 2025. More importantly, commercial launches now account for 70% of activity, up from just 25% a decade ago, signaling the industry’s shift toward commercial scale.2 The commercial launch market is expected to grow at a 13.4% annual rate to $70 billion by 2035.3

  • Lower launch costs are also broadening the competitive landscape. SpaceX remains the dominant, but companies such as Rocket Lab are scaling capabilities and competing for a larger share of the launch market.

Satellites: Rising Orbital Density Creates Investable Infrastructure

  • As access to space improves, orbital infrastructure scale is compounding. Active satellites increased from ~1,000 in 2010 to more than 12,000 in 2025 and could approach 100,000 by 2030, transforming orbit from a collection of individual assets into a persistent infrastructure layer.4

  • Satellite-enabled solutions could account for 63% of space revenues by 2034 as constellation density increases and services such as broadband connectivity expand.5 Satellite broadband revenue alone could reach $100 billion by 2035, roughly four times its 2025 level.6 This growth of satellite-services is shifting the economics of the industry from project-based hardware contracts toward recurring revenues for broadband and data services.

The Global Space Market Could Surpass $1T in Annual Revenues by 2034 - Why Space Tech Why ORBX Article - 2026

Defense & AI: Expanding Long-Term Revenue

ORBX: A More Targeted Solution to Access Space Tech

Purpose-Built for Today’s Space Economy

Pure-Play Exposure Where It Matters

Designed to Capture Leaders and Emerging Innovators

Governments worldwide spent $137 billion on space in 2025, including ~$73 billion on defense.7 Spending should rise further, with the U.S. Space Force proposing $71 billion for FY2027.8 Public spending provides durable demand alongside commercial growth, improving revenue visibility across the space ecosystem.

AI could create another long-term revenue opportunity through orbital data centers. Orbital data centers could become economically viable as launch costs approach $200/kg, from nearly $2,720/kg they are at today.9 SpaceX has applied to operate an orbital data-center system comprising up to one million satellites, signaling the scale of the opportunity.10

ORBX targets four segments spanning the space tech value chain: (a) rocket launch and reusable rockets, (b) space tech and components, (c) satellite telecommunications and data services, and (d) space transportation, tourism, and exploration. This approach seeks to capture both established and innovative segments in the space economy.

Companies must derive at least 50% of revenues from space tech-related activities to qualify for inclusion, helping distinguish businesses where space isa meaningful driver of fundamentals from those with more incidental exposure.

ORBX uses a modified market-cap weighted approach designed to give greater representation to innovative industry leaders while retaining exposure to smaller companies that may help shape the next phase of the space economy. Individual securities are capped at 20%, balancing concentration towards leaders with thematic breadth.

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Footnotes
  1. Space Daily. (2026, August 18). Sending a kilogram to orbit cost roughly $55,000 in the Space Shuttle era.

  2. Space Stats. (2026, July 30). Orbital launches in 2025.

  3. Global X ETFs forecast with information derived from: Allied Market Research. (2025, January). Space Launch Services Market Research, 2033.; EMR. (2026, January). Space Launch Services Market Size, Share and Forecast Trends - Growth Analysis and Outlook Report (2026-2035).; Precedence Research. (2025, May 28). Space Launch Services Market Revenue to Attain USD 57.94 Bn by 2033.

  4. European Space Agency. (2025, January 4). Around 100,000 Satellites are expected to be in orbit by 2030; Statista. (2026, June 29). Number of active satellites from 1957 to 2025.

  5. Novaspace. (2026, January). The Space Economy Report.

  6. Goldman Sachs. (2025, March 5). The global satellite market is forecast to become seven times bigger.

  7. Novaspace. (2026, Jan 20). Global Space Spending Reaches $137B, Marking a Defense‑Led Era.

  8. Space News. (2026, April 5). Space Force budget would more than double in Trump’s $1.5 trillion defense plan.

  9. TechTarget. (2026, July 23). When orbital AI data centers become business reality.

  10. Space News. (2026, March 22). SpaceX offers details on orbital data center satellites.

Depleted stockpiles are accelerating procurement, adding to defense tech earnings tailwinds from broader defense modernization.

Depleted stockpiles are accelerating procurement, adding to defense tech earnings tailwinds from broader defense modernization.

This month highlights semiconductors/quantum computing as one of the top trending themes and hydrogen as an out-of-favor-theme showing possible recovery.

B

Benjamin Lavine

Aug 25, 202611 min read
T

Tejas Dessai

Sep 1, 20267 min read
Product ResearchThematic GrowthEquity

Through the Systematic Lens: Thematic Equity: Factor Landscape (August 2026)

This month highlights semiconductors/quantum computing as one of the top trending themes and hydrogen as an out-of-favor-theme showing possible recovery.

B

Benjamin Lavine

Aug 25, 202611 min read